January 21, 2025

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Analysts revisit Nvidia stock price targets with Q3 earnings in focus

Analysts revisit Nvidia stock price targets with Q3 earnings in focus

Updated at 9:53 AM EST

Nvidia shares edged lower in early Monday trading but are still on pace to add more than $350 billion in value this month, as two top Wall Street analysts issued new price target updates ahead of the AI-chip maker’s third quarter earnings report next week.

Nvidia (NVDA) , which last week overtook Apple (AAPL) as the world’s most valuable company measured by market capitalization, also replaced struggling chipmaker Intel (INTC) in the Dow Jones Industrial Average as its stunning 2024 gain topped 205%.

The group is slated to report on Wednesday, Nov. 20, with analysts looking for a massive year-on-year revenue surge of 82%, to just under $33 billion, thanks in part to ongoing demand for its legacy Hopper chips and gains from its newly released line of Blackwell processors.

Related: Top analyst overhauls Tesla stock price target amid post-election surge

Nvidia told investors in late August that Q3 revenue would be in the region of $32.5 billion, more than double the tally of the year-earlier period. However, the company faced some delays in shipping its new line of Blackwell processors amid design changes and supply-chain snarls.

Nvidia’s grip on the market for so-called AI accelerators, which power the large datasets and language models used by companies such as Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) , Microsoft (MSFT) , Amazon (AMZN) and Meta Platforms (META) , likely means it will also guide investors to impress revenue gains over the coming year as well.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has described demand for the AI chipmaker's new line of Blackwell processors as 'insane.' <p>Bloomberg&sol;Getty Images</p>
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has described demand for the AI chipmaker’s new line of Blackwell processors as ‘insane.’

Bloomberg&sol;Getty Images

UBS analysts see the four biggest hyperscalers, all of which posted third-quarter earnings this week and form the spine of the global AI-investment race, spending $267 billion on capital projects tied to the new technologies next year, a 33.5% increase from this year’s forecast.

Even Tesla (TSLA) , which is chasing CEO Elon Musk’s bold ambitions of autonomous robotaxis and other self-driving electric vehicles, expects to spend around $11 billion this year “largely because of investments in AI compute.”

“Our belief is that the total addressable market for AI accelerators will expand by ~$70 billion in 2025, with Nvidia well positioned to capture most of this increase, ceding only a small portion to merchant chip competitors,” said Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar in a note published Monday.

Related: Nvidia to reap billions in big tech AI spending

Kumar, who lifted his price target on Nvidia by $35 to $175 a share, said supply constraints would likely mean only modest revenue beats over the October quarter and the three months ending in January, but he expects more AI-powered growth into 2025.

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